Washington Huskies 76 – Northwestern Wildcats 55
I had to think for a long time about what I would say in this blog post. What does a Wildcats fan say after Washington absolutely obliterated Northwestern in the second round of the NIT Tournament.
I guess I’ll start with what my mind is telling me, as opposed to what my heart is telling me. After watching the Huskies show off bigger muscles, better drives and more belligerent defense for 40 minutes on Friday night, it’s tempting to say that the Wildcats need to go into rebuilding mode. Fire Carmody. Abandon the Princeton offense. Stray away from the 1-3-1 pressure zone. All are tempting sentiments.
Instead, I will plead for calm. One night should not define a program. One night should not override years of progress. One night should not override slow, if meandering, footsteps toward a better future.
The holes are glaring at this point, and they are real. This team cannot defend against the three-pointer, which is a classic vulnerability of the 1-3-1 defense. When teams are able to move the ball rapidly around the perimeter, they will find openings, and they will find open shots. This team is entirely incompetent on the glass. They look like a mismatched group of midgets going against a gaggle of giants on each and every rebound. Even when they do pick up a rebound, it’s usually a strenuous procedure, characterized by multiple tips and a tumultous scrum for the ball as opposed to other teams that simply catch the ball off of the rim. They are far too reliant on the three-pointer and they do not drive enough on offense.
And I will say this now, and I will say this throughout this post, their leading scorers go silent far too often. Don’t get me wrong. I love John Shurna. I think he is a tremendous player, particularly as a shooter. But the fact that he had just three shot attempts last night as the wheels fell off in the second half is unacceptable. Shurna eventually starting driving madly toward the basket, but by then it was too late, with the Huskies already holding onto a 20-point lead. Where was Shurna when Washington began its little run? The fact that I’ve noticed throughout this season is that Shurna isn’t very clutch. He turns the ball over in the final minutes, gets locked down on defense and misses free throws. I love him, but I can’t recall the last clutch three he hit. Has there been one since his game-winner over Ohio State his sophomore year? Meanwhile, Drew Crawford took a significant step this season, but he is still inconsistent as can be. Although he averaged 16 points per game this season, he reverted to old habits, disappearing when his team needed him most, to seal a NCAA Tournament bid against Minnesota. He scored just eight points on 2-of-11 shooting. He made everyone forget those struggles with a dominating performance against Akron but then scored just five points against Washington. Asides from a gorgeous three-pointer taken from way behind the arc, he did nothing, attempting just six shots. How does the star of a team take just six shots in 30 minutes of play? When the team is struggling, Shurna and Crawford ought to have the ball in their hands. Instead, this team reacts very slowly, and it seems like when they’re in the middle of an offenisve funk, they don’t necessarily have anyone ready to step up. These are not knee-jerk reactions on my part, or examples of a sports journalist confusing a 24-hour virus with a chronic disease. These problems did not emerge tonight and they did not emerge last week. These are season-long problems, and they will certainly need to be addressed this summer.
John Shurna is the leading scorer in school history, and he has deeper range than anybody I’ve ever seen. He has the capability to drive awfully well for someone his size, and he’s a very underrated defender, who blocks shots far more often than his zize would suggest. But he cannot do it alone. He cannot do everything for this team and that showed Friday night .He is not Jordan Taylor and he is not Jared Sullinger. He can be an extremely hot player, but I would stop short of saying that he can score at will. Last night, he was barely able to play a role in the offense, let alone score at will, in the second half. The funny thing is people will look at the box score, see that he scored 24 points on 6-of-12 shooting, including a 5-of-7 clip from behind the arc, and assumed that he had another great game, but that’s where stats are deceiving and you have to trust your eyes. Shurna was great early, but he faded after 14 first-half points, attempting just three shots and missing all three during the game-defining run when Washington expanded a seven-point lead into a 20-point advantage.
What I will say is the travesty that occurred in the second half was a long time in coming. It’s not like they played that much worse in the second half than they did in the first half. The difference was Washington started draining the three-pointers that Northwestern had left open all night. While the Huskies made just 5-of-21 from behind the arc in the first half, they made 6-of-11 three-point attempts in the second half. The difference was the Huskies started making their putbacks. They finished with a 16-2 advantage in second-chance opportunities. The difference was Northwestern was no longer able to hold tight as a result of its occasional three-point barrages. The Wildcats went just 22 percent from the field in the second half, including just 4-of-16 from behind the three-point line, including several misses on wide-open shots. That’s how a tight back-and-forth game, that originally swung like a pendelum in the single-digits, turned into a 20-plus point rout. If these two teams played 20 times, I don’t think Washington would win by 20 points every time. This happened to be an exceptionally off night for the Wildcats. But there was no doubt which team was better and more athletic, and that has happened far too often this season. Against Baylor, against Ohio State, against Washington, Northwestern gas shown that it is not on that elite level. Jared Sullinger and Terrence Ross are elite players who can take the ball in their hands Kobe Bryant-style and turn the game around. I’m not convinced John Shurna or Drew Crawford can do that.
The Wildcats were very fortunate to even be in the game at halftime. If Washington had been able to make even fifty percent of its open three-point attempts, then Northwestern’s ship would have been sunk. The Huskies did a terrific job of creating shot opportunities with rapid ball movement. The Wildcats needed to come out hot in the second half, trailing by seven. Instead, the three-pointer suddenly went away from Northwestern, and without the outside shot, the Wildcats were simply hapless. They had chances to drain open three-pointers, but Hearn couldn’t hit, Sobolewski couldn’t hit, and while Northwestern stumbled, Washington soared, literally.
You got the feeling that Northwestern had no business being on that court on Friday. Washington was simply a much better team on Friday night, far more athletic, far more talented and far more capable of executing at a far higher level. It was a sinking feeling in the back of my mind during the first half, and then the ship sunk in the second half. I knew it was over on a series of plays in which Tony Wroten blocked Jershon Cobb as he coasted into the hoop for a fastbreak layup. Wroten came out of nowhere, fully extending his body to swat away Cobb’s attempt. Then, on the other end, Wroten lobbed a pass up for Ross to slam home. Wroten let out a wide grin at that point, a grin as if he suddenly realized that this game was his, that this game, this moment belonged to the Huskies. Amazingly, Wroten, one of Washington’s premiere players, didn’t score in the second half, but he didn’t need to because Ross scored enough for the both of them. Ross went absolutely apeshit after the intermission, draining 9-of-11 for 17 points, and was unstoppable with his long frame fading away for jumpers and three-pointers. To make matters worse, Washington showed off another jewel that Northwestern would love to have, a solid bench player, as C.J. Wilcox drained four clutch three-pointers off of the bench.
Washington absolutely dominated the glass on Friday, by a margin of 45-26, which is, yes, even worse than usual for Northwestern. Twenty offensive rebonds undermined whatever defense the Wildcats could muster, and then they literally fell apart under pressure. The Wildcats never turn the ball over, literally almost never, averaging around six turnovers per game. Well, they turned it over 11 times in the first half on Friday night, and finished with more turnovers than assists, a true rarity for Northwestern basketball. Washington was able to get into Northwestern’s heads, particularly that of Dave Sobolewski, who could barely bring the ball up court at times.
The turnovers came at horrendous times too, ruining multiple runs. For example, Northwestern had clawed back from a nine-point deficit to draw within four points, when Jershon Cobb allowed the ball to glance off of his hands under the basket. The worst may have come a minute or two later when Davide Curletti tried to funnel the ball up court to a wide-open Drew Crawford, only to miss his intended target by several feet. Despite Crawford’s valiant attempt to save it along the sideline, the ball went out of bounds, ruining what looked like a sure opportunity for a fastbreak dunk. The look of exasperation on Crawford’s face told it all. If Curletti cannot pass, then what exactly is he good for? Curletti finished with one point, one rebound and two turnovers in 16 minutes of play, continuing a season in which the Wildcats have received absolutely nothing from their post players.
But worse than the invisibility cloak Curletti wraps around himself on offense is the sheer beating he takes in the post. We all knew Washington would control the glass entering the game, but the extent to which the Huskies dominated the glass made it nearly impossible for the Wildcats to win. The funny thing is that Washington was originally missing its second-chance opportunities, somehow scoring only eight second-chance points in the first half, but then they kept getting third chances and fourth chances. Eventually, the ball has to go in. The funny thing is Washington probably converted on only 40 percent of its putbacks and layups in the first half. The Huskies were eager, but they more than a wee bit sloppy, and the Wildcats failed to take advantage. So, Washington did in the second half.
I will say that I was worried about their guy in the middle, Aziz N’Diaye, ever since I saw highlights of the Huskies’ first-round victory. It’s not that he’s particularly good, but he is physical and he is big with a dangerously long wingspan. And that in itself is enough against Northwestern’s hideously weak interior defense. Sure enough, he streched out for several impressive rebounds, had a few putback layups, and helped create a nightmare in the post for the Wildcats.
It’s frustrating, because as a Northwestern fan, you’re tempted to always think that if only we picked up a couple of more offensive rebounds, if only we didn’t turn it over that one time, if only we got a bucket or two in the paint, this seven-point deficit would be a three-point lead. But that type of thinking is flawed. The Wildcats are far from where they need to be because so many aspects of their game are flawed. The turnovers are rare but the stale offensive possessions are not. They get hot and cold, none colder than when Drew Crawford apparently forgot that there is a 30-second shot clock in men’s college basketball. And tonight, it was clear that Northwestern is more than a bad break away from where it needs to be.
The problem for Northwestern is that as good as Shurna and Crawford are, they aren’t superheroes. Particularly Shurna, who is dynamite from three-point land, but inconsistent from inside the arc. When he drives, it’s a beautiful sight, but I could count on one hand the number of times he drove in the first half. That leaves Crawford, and now Cobb, as the only pure scorers on this team, and when they’re matched up against a team that also has elite scorers, like Washington, the Wildcats can’t just expect their duo to outscore every other duo in the country, particularly when opposing duos were often more highly recruited for a reason. You can’t expect John Shurna to completely out-class a guy like Terrence Ross, but that is what Northwestern needs with its big men completely clueless in the post. To offset their disadvantage down low, they’re forced to either light it up from three-point land or get some sort of astounding performance from Shurna, night in and night out, which is hard to do. The Wildcats were undoubtedly a slicker team in the first half Friday night. They were electric from three-point land in the first half, and while they made tough, contested shots, Washington missed wide-open shots, failing to even draw rim at times. But the problem is Northwestern was so obviously out-classed in every other area of the game, penetrating the post, grabbing rebounds and forcing bad shots on defense, that it never stood a chance.
Northwestern currently has issues at the top and the bottom in my opinion. Curletti is practically useless in the front court. Sobolewski, as talented and smart as he is, is not an elite scorer, and looked shaky in the back court. That’s all right. He’s a freshman and you have to expect that he will not allow himself to get trapped as often as he did against Washington the next time around. So, next year, you look forward to new blood in the post, with Curletti and Luka Mirkovic both gone. You have to figure that pretty much anything will be better than what they have now. Kyle Rowley, of current NCAA Tournament fame and torture, left this program a couple of years ago, and clearly the Curletti and Mirkovic experiment that has prevailed since has been an abysmal failure. Both would make fine backup centers for any team in the nation. Neither is a true starter. And they could really use a center to save dead possessions. Cobb does that to some extent, but at some point, there’s nothing like a guy, who you can just dump it to with five seconds remaining on the shot clock, and tell him, back your guy down, take a hook shot, and we’ll take those 50-50 odds that it falls.
Without these tools, this was a very humbling night. So ends a Northwestern season that included far more hype than necessary. The Wildcats were perennially talked about as a NCAA Tournament contender, as a charmed team of destiny, but this loss puts an end to that conversation. Heck, it’s not even this loss, it’s this entire 8-10 run through conference play, that included just one quality win, featured several tenuous wins over bad teams and ended in a crushing loss to Minnesota in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. Sure, the Wildcats proved they could compete with just about anybody, but winning is a different story. Looking back on this season, it is quite clear that this was an average Big Ten team. They were frequently dominated by college basketball’s elite (at Ohio State, versus Baylor and at Washington). They fought hard against good teams like Michigan and Illinois. And at times, they beat up on cellar-dwellers like Nebraska, Penn State, Iowa and Minnesota. At other timers, they struggled against the bottom of the barrel, struggling to defeat cellar-dwellers like Iowa and Penn State on the road. It’s safe to say that Bill Carmody has done a lot in his time in Evanston. It is safe to say that Northwestern has climbed out of the Big Ten basement. Where it has climbed to is far less clear.